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How African equity markets lost momentum in 10 years

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Nigerian equities open new year

African equity capital markets have collectively seen downward turn in the last decade albeit with an increase in participation domestic investors in the markets.

This has just been revealed by Making Finance Work for Africa (MFW4A) and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) Nigeria during a webinar co-hosted by the duo.

The webinar was designed to explore the impact of COVID-19 on African capital markets last month.

Data presented from the PwC Nigeria’s 2019 African Capital Market Watch which reviewed the performance of Africa’s capital markets between 2010 and the first quarter of 2020, shows that African equity capital markets activity has seen a downward trajectory.

This is was seen more in the last three years was attributed chiefly to growing debt levels of major economies on the continent which has been slowing economic growth.

Capital market value in 2019 was the lowest seen over the past decade, with the volume of deals lower only in 2012.

African economies now face the unprecedented challenge of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has severely impacted global financial markets, according to Andrew Nevin, PwC Nigeria’s Chief Economist, and Alice Tomdio, the firm’s Director Capital Markets, who presented the data.

Commenting on the data and the potential impact of the COVID pandemic, Geoffrey Odundo, CEO of the Nairobi Securities Exchange said: “Capital markets in East Africa have taken a hit, with a 20% decrease in trading volume since the beginning of COVID-19.”

On the positive side, there was increased activity from domestic investors, he added.

Daniel Ogbarmey Tetteh, Director-General, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Ghana, said that market activity on the Ghana stock market had remained robust, with an almost threefold increase in trading volumes between January and April 2020, compared to the same period in 2019.

Again, a good proportion of these trades originated from domestic investors, Tetteh said.

Speakers also stressed the important role of African capital markets in supporting the post-COVID recovery.

For this to happen, they noted that African markets need to be deepened and provide avenues for investment of the significant pools of local capital currently tied up in “dead” assets.

Expanding the range of available asset classes should also include measures to attract and support new listings, they said.

The panel agreed that the increased engagement of local investors in the current environment was a positive sign, and that developing a deep pool of domestic investors is essential for African capital markets to play their full role in supporting the post-COVID economic recovery.

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