Diaspora Remittances have emerged as a key pillar of Nigeria’s foreign exchange strategy, with the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) targeting monthly inflows of $1 billion through official channels as part of efforts to strengthen external reserves and reduce dependence on oil earnings.
The target, disclosed by CBN Governor Olayemi Cardoso at the 14th BusinessDay CEO Forum in Lagos, comes as Nigeria’s foreign reserves climbed to $52 billion, their highest level in years.
The move is a broader shift in economic policy as authorities seek to diversify sources of foreign exchange amid recurring volatility in global oil markets and growing pressure on emerging economies to build resilience against external shocks.
“During the process of rebuilding reserves, we recognised the need to diversify our sources of foreign exchange and focused on remittance inflows with clear targets,” Mr Cardoso said.
According to the CBN governor, remittances through formal channels currently average about $600 million monthly, with the apex bank aiming to raise that figure to $1 billion before the end of the year.
Why Remittances Matter
Nigeria remains one of Africa’s largest recipients of diaspora remittances, with millions of Nigerians abroad sending money home for household support, education, healthcare and investment purposes.
Economists regard remittances as one of the most stable sources of foreign exchange because they are less susceptible to sudden reversals than portfolio investments and are not directly tied to commodity price fluctuations.
The World Bank has repeatedly identified remittance inflows as an important source of household income and economic resilience in developing economies.
For Nigeria, stronger remittance inflows could help improve liquidity in the foreign exchange market while supporting efforts to stabilise the naira.
The CBN’s renewed focus on remittances follows a series of reforms aimed at encouraging Nigerians abroad to use formal financial channels rather than informal transfer networks.
According to Mr Cardoso, reserves have reached $52 billion, providing about 10 months of import cover and strengthening the country’s ability to withstand external economic shocks.
The reserve growth marks a sharp contrast to the challenges that confronted policymakers in recent years, including foreign exchange shortages, declining investor confidence and mounting external obligations.
The governor attributed the improvement to monetary policy reforms, enhanced transparency in the foreign exchange market and efforts to restore credibility among investors.
Beyond Oil Dependence
Nigeria’s economy has long depended on crude oil exports as its primary source of foreign exchange earnings.
However, fluctuations in oil prices, production disruptions and the global energy transition have increased calls for a broader and more diversified external sector strategy.
The CBN’s emphasis on remittances reflects growing recognition that sustainable foreign exchange management requires multiple sources of inflows.
Beyond remittances, policymakers have also identified non-oil exports, foreign direct investment and improved capital inflows as critical components of long-term economic resilience.
If the $1 billion monthly target is achieved, annual remittance inflows through formal channels could exceed $12 billion, making them one of the country’s most significant sources of foreign exchange.
Inflation Outlook and Banking Reforms
Mr Cardoso also expressed optimism about the inflation outlook despite recent geopolitical tensions and global market disruptions.
According to him, Nigeria recorded 11 consecutive months of disinflation before external shocks, including tensions involving the United States and Iran, affected global economic conditions.
“There were unpredictable external shocks like the US-Iran war. It affected everyone but affected us less because we undertook the reforms a lot earlier,” he said.
He added that, the Monetary Policy Committee would continue to rely on economic data when determining interest rate decisions and projected further moderation in inflation over the medium term.
“We projected that by next year, inflation will get to moderate levels. We have independent-minded MPC members who rely strictly on data. All actions are guided by that.”
The governor also defended the ongoing banking sector recapitalisation programme, describing it as necessary to strengthen financial institutions and position them to support economic growth.
According to him, stronger capital buffers will enable Nigerian banks to withstand economic shocks, finance larger projects and compete more effectively across African markets.
“We needed to build resilience in our banking system. Forbearance and devaluation conspired and made recapitalisation necessary, and the banks saw the need. We got their buy-in.”
He said stronger capital positions would enable Nigerian banks to support larger investments, compete more effectively across Africa and contribute more meaningfully to economic growth.
“We’re helping local banks build capacity to ensure they operate at par with their international counterparts.”
For the CBN, the combination of stronger reserves, rising remittance inflows, moderating inflation and better-capitalised banks represents the foundation of a more stable macroeconomic environment.
Whether the bank achieves its ambitious target of $1 billion in monthly remittances may ultimately determine how quickly Nigeria can reduce its dependence on oil and build a more diversified foreign exchange base.